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Hurricane Norma takes aim at Mexico's Los Cabos resorts, as Tammy threatens islands in the Atlantic_我的网站

夫妇飞美国打儿媳

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原标题:美通胀数据冲击美股港股,A股受小幅波及美股对A股造成的冲击只是短期的,从中长期走势来看,国内宏观经济的复苏才是影响A股走势的核心因素图/视觉中国文|《财经》记者 张欣培 黄慧玲编辑|杨秀红超预期的通胀数据,令隔夜美股市场大跌。

二 | 当日,美国公布8月CPI(消费者物价指数)数据,CPI同比上涨8.3%,高于市场预期的8.1%,核心CPI同比上涨6.3%,高于市场预期的6.1%。

三 | 受此影响,美股三大指数齐跌,标普500下跌4.32%、道琼斯工业指数下跌3.94%、纳斯达克指数下跌5.16%。前两大指数均创下了自2020年6月11日以来的最大单日跌幅。    CABO SAN LUCAS, Mexico -- Residents of Mexico’s Los Cabos resorts rushed to prepare as Hurricane Norma headed toward the southern tip of Mexico’s Baja California Peninsula for an expected landfall Saturday, while in the Atlantic, Tammy grew into a hurricane and threatened to batter the islands of the Lesser Antilles. Businesses in Cabo San Lucas nailed up sheets of plywood over their windows and government personnel hung up banners warning people not to try to cross gullies and stream beds, after Hurricane Norma regained strength and once again became a major storm Friday.Baja California Sur Gov. Victor Manuel Castro urged people to stay at home.“Nobody should leave their house after six, seven in the evening," Castro said. "Nobody should go out.”In the Atlantic, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said Hurricane Tammy had winds of 80 mph (130 kph), and hurricane warnings were issued for the islands of Guadeloupe, Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, and St. Kitts and Nevis.The center said Norma had 120 mph (195 kph) maximum sustained winds and was centered about 145 miles (235 kilometers) south of Cabo San Lucas. The Category 3 storm was moving north-northwest at 9 mph (15 kph), and the center said its outer bands of rain were already reaching the Baja peninsula.Hotels in Los Cabos, which are largely frequented by foreign tourists, remained about three-quarters full and there was no major move by visitors to leave, Baja California Sur state tourism secretary Maribel Collins said.With rain already falling in Los Cabos, some flights in and out were canceled Friday, there was no way out anyway. Airports will be closed Saturday, according to the local civil defense office.The local hotel association estimated there were about 40,000 tourists still in Cabo San Lucas and San Jose del Cabo on Friday.A couple from San Diego walked through the largely deserted streets of Cabo San Lucas on Friday. Because their sports fishing tournament had been postponed until next week, they had little choice but to stay. The local port was closed to navigation as a precaution. At the marina in Cabo San Lucas, José Ceseña was hauling out of the water the boat he usually uses to ferry tourists around on tours. With the port closed and a hurricane coming, he said it wasn’t worth risking his craft.Homero Blanco, the state commander of the National Guard, said beaches at the resort had been ordered closed and Guard troops were sent to clear people from the seashore.“This morning there were a few people on the beach when we cleared it,” Blanco said. “We invited them to leave.” The federal government posted 500 marines to the resort to help with storm preparations, and municipal officials said as many as 39 emergency shelters could be opened if needed.A hurricane warning was issued for the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, and the forecast track would take a weakened Norma toward the mainland of Mexico’s western Pacific coast as a tropical storm.Norma was expected to weaken somewhat as it neared land, but not as much as originally forecast. In the Atlantic, Hurricane Tammy was about 55 miles (85 kilometers) east of Martinique and 135 miles (220 kilometers) southeast of the Caribbean island of Guadeloupe and was moving west-northwest at 9 mph (15 kph).Tammy was expected to remain at hurricane strength and even strengthen slightly as it moved toward the Lesser Antilles through Saturday passing by Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda. Both Martinique and Guadeloupe are French overseas departments.The hurricane center said in a report that “heavy rainfall and flooding (are) likely over much of the Lesser Antilles.”Hurricane warnings were issued for the islands of Guadeloupe, Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, and St. Kitts, Nevis, Anguilla, St. Maarten, St. Martin and St. Barthelemy.___Follow AP’s climate coverage at: https://apnews.com/hub/climate-and-environment。9月14日,港股方面表现亦不佳。当日,恒生指数收跌2.48%、恒生科技指数和恒生国企指数也均下跌超2%。同日,A股三大重要指数大幅跳空低开,跌幅超过1%。随后有所反弹,但不久后再度回落。截至收盘,上证指数下跌0.8%,深证成指下跌1.25%,创业板指下跌1.83%。个股方面,复星集团相关公司持续走低。截至发稿,复星医药A股下跌1.97%,报收33.76元/股,复星医药港股下跌2.36%。

四 | 复星国际港股下跌6.94%、复星旅游文化下跌6.74%。

五 | 当日,A股万亿市值股宁德时代下跌4.95%。在不到一个月的时间内,宁德时代股价下跌幅度已经超过20%。此外,医药白马股药明康德继9月13日跌停后,9月14日再度下跌1.35%。市场人士认为,A股下跌的导火索是隔夜美国股市的震荡。

六 | 美国超预期的通胀数据,让加息近100个基点概率加大,从而引发隔夜美股市场的大跌。中金公司在研报中表示,美国“股债双杀”或未结束,美元或维持强势。超七成个股下跌 9月14日,A股跳空低开,随后全天维持低位震荡。截至收盘,上证指数跌0.80%报收于3237.54点;深成指跌1.25%报收于11774.78点;创业板指跌1.83%报收于2503.82点。在所有重要指数中,科创50微涨0.01%。两市累计成交7229亿元。根据Wind(万得)数据统计,9月14日上涨的个股仅有1147只,有3621只个股出现下跌,占比达到了74%。其中,104只个股涨超5%,56只个股跌超5%。在板块方面,按照申万一级行业分类,仅有国防军工、美容护理两个板块飘红。

七 | 国防军工上涨1.06%。其中,派克新材涨停。

八 | 航天彩虹、利君股份上涨幅度均超过5%。美容护理行业上涨0.05%。概念板块方面,航天、原油、油气开采、页岩气、天然气指数均实现上涨。Wind数据显示,北上资金全天净流出14.14亿元。其中沪股通净流出13.54亿元,深股通净流出0.6亿元。同日,港股方面表现亦不佳。

九 | 9月14日,港股低开低走全天维持弱势,恒生指数收跌2.48%报收18847.1点;恒生科技指数下跌2.85%,报收3953.37点;恒生国企指数下跌2.45%,报收6470.65点。

十 | 值得注意的是,隔夜美股市场遭遇两年多最糟糕的一个交易日。当日,标普500下跌4.32%、道琼斯工业指数下跌3.94%。二者创下了自2020年6月11日以来的最大单日跌幅。纳斯达克指数下跌5.16%。债券市场方面,10年期美国国债收益率从9月12日的3.361%跃升至3.422%,接近2022年的最高水平。与此同时,对短期利率预期更为敏感的两年期国债收益率收于3.754%,为2007年以来的最高水平。

十一 | 多位机构人士向《财经》记者表示,9月14日A股下跌主要来自美国市场的冲击,隔夜美国公布的8月CPI数据超预期,引发美股大跌。长城基金指出,9月以来市场步入了新的宏观因素震动期,9月14日市场的重创主要来自宏观因素变动。“隔夜欧美市场全线收跌,不仅A股市场下挫,亚太市场也几乎全线收跌,主要原因皆在于联储鹰派加息预期再强化。”建泓时代投资总监赵媛媛表示,美国此前一天通胀超预期上涨使得下周美联储加息100个基点的概率陡然上升到50%,因此A股也随着人民币汇率一同走弱。“近期市场在延续震荡的同时出现两个新特征,一个是成交额的收缩,另一个是板块热度上的切换迹象,金融、地产、消费等今年热度一直不高的板块有一些起色。”长城基金认为,近期的交投缩量,一方面体现出机构在宏观混沌期的保守态度;另一方面也是中报季之后和市场年度估值切换行情前,基于估值性价比和结构优化所做的阶段性准备。后市走势如何? 排排网财富公募产品经理朱润康认为,美股对A股造成的冲击只是短期的,从中长期走势来看,国内宏观经济的复苏才是影响A股走势的核心因素。“如果通胀背后的长期经济基本面因素,如逆全球化、能源和劳动力供应等问题不能缓和,那么政策紧缩交易仍将是海外市场主旋律。”鹏扬基金表示,近期增量资金流入A股市场的步伐有所放缓,市场呈现存量博弈的格局,板块轮动加快。短期内尽管市场不存在系统性风险,但国内外宏观因素交织、风险偏好较弱,市场出现新的有持续性的主线风格可能还需等待,房地产修复和稳增长可能会产生机会。“总体上看A股目前仍为底部震荡格局,由于上证50、大金融等权重板块已处底部区间,上证指数向下调整空间有限。” 鸿风资产投资总监黄易向《财经》记者表示。招商证券首席策略分析师张夏的观点也相对乐观。他认为,A股所面临的宏观环境从“流动性驱动”逐渐转向“社融驱动”。此外本轮居民储蓄存款溢出可能转向基金和股票。“A股正在酝酿新一轮上行攻势,目前尽管波动较大,但正好是低位建仓的机遇。”“居民中长期贷款显示地产销售情况仍然较差,结合近期PMI(采购经理指数)数据以及房地产销售来看,传统宏观经济相关板块的业绩弹性不会太强,短期如金融、地产链表现靠前更多是基于‘稳增长’政策预期的博弈以及过于拥挤背景下成长板块资金的高低切换。

十二 | ”富荣基金研究部总经理郎骋成认为,中长期维度“弱复苏”加上相对充裕的流动性背景下,成长板块尤其是高景气板块仍是关注的重点。

十三 | 但从过往中期调整的幅度与时间来看,可能还没有到位,偏价值风格短期相对占优。

十四 | “当前市场尽管流动性依然充裕,但中美利差不断扩大,因流动性宽松驱动A股进一步抬升的空间有限,市场正处于由分母端估值驱动转换为分子端盈利验证的关键阶段。”平安基金基金经理张淼认为。张淼表示,今年由于疫情影响,经济基本面前低后高,四季度稳增长的预期较为强烈,政策发力预期下可能相关板块阶段性占优,但以科技、制造、医药、消费为代表的成长股未来依然会是市场的主线,随着8月以来成长板块的调整,这些板块的长期收益率空间逐步增加,可能会迎来又一次加仓的机会。

十五 | “近期国务院常务会议部署实施稳经济一揽子政策的接续政策措施,加力巩固经济恢复发展的基础,央行正在加大力度支持实体经济的回升。

十六 | 受到超预期因素的影响,消费增速较为低迷,部分地区消费增速下滑明显,这拖累了经济恢复。提振企业和居民信心是下一步有效激发实体经济贷款需求的关键,从宽货币到宽信用还有很长的路要走,这也是下一步经济复苏乃至资本市场走强的一个关键因素。”前海开源基金首席经济学家杨德龙表示。责编 | 田洁 本文为《财经》杂志原创文章,未经授权不得转载或建立镜像。如需转载,请添加微信:caijing19980418返回搜狐,查看更多责任编辑:

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